Michael Alexander |
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FREE PICKS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 27, 2024 Diamondbacks vs. Mariners |
Diamondbacks +142 at ACE |
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MLB Free Pick - Arizona at Seattle Arizona’s pitching has been good, with the team giving up 3.96 runs per game. Opponents have a .253 batting average against the Diamondbacks, which is 22nd in the league. Their 3.96 ERA is 15th, while their 1.28 WHIP is 17th. In his last start, Cecconi gave up two hits and two runs in six innings, leading to a 5-3 win over the Giants. They will need a similar effort if they want to get the win. |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Apr 26, 2024 Bucks vs Pacers |
Pacers -5½ -110 at circa |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating: 2 Units These teams have clashed seven times since November. Indiana is 5-2, including a 2-0 home record, because they've scored more than 120 points in all but one of those meetings. Considering that the Bucks have only scored more than 115 points once in April (117 on April 10), this game does not bode well for them. As is, Milwaukee has plenty of issues on the road, hence their 18-22 (16-24-0 ATS) record in away games. With a cold offense, no Giannis Antetokounmpo, and a defense that can't contain the Pacers, the Bucks are in danger. Milwaukee's weak offensive rebounding also doesn't challenge Indiana's awful defensive rebounding, an area where they could get points back. Take the Pacers to win by more than five points again now that this series is in Gainbridge Fieldhouse. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Apr 26, 2024 Canucks vs Predators |
Predators -106 at linepros |
Lost $106.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating: 2 Units If Demko was healthy for this game, the Canucks would be favored and likely would be up 2-0 in the series. Instead, he’s banged up and coach Rick Tocchet has said that DeSmith is going to be between the pipes for this contest. We saw how he struggled in the opener, stopping 12 of 15 shots before the empty net goal that closed the scoring. Vancouver was down a goal 74 seconds into the game and never managed to get even the rest of the way. With the backup goaltender between the pipes, Vancouver can’t be as freewheeling offensively as they usually are. Look for Nashville to feed off their home crowd and take Game 3 to earn the series lead. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 26, 2024 A's vs Orioles |
Orioles -1½ -125 at Mirage |
Lost $125.0 |
Play Type: Free | ||
MLB Free Pick - Oakland at Baltimore The Orioles send ace right-hander Corbin Burnes (3-0, 2.76 ERA) to face right-hander Ross Stripling (0-5, 5.34) in today's opener. Burnes struggled a bit his last time out, allowing three runs on four hits in 5 2/3 innings during a 9-7 win against the Royals on Saturday. He retired 17 of the first 19 batters he faced and gave up a three-run homer to his final batter but got strong support from his offense. Baltimore is 5-0 in games started by Burnes, who has never faced the A's. Oakland, meanwhile, has lost each game started by Stripling, including on Sunday when he allowed three runs on five hits in five innings during a 6-2 loss to the Guardians. He gave up three runs or fewer in three of his five starts. Oakland has scored a total of nine runs in games started by Stripling, who has gone 27 games (16 starts) without a win, dating back to the start of last season. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 26, 2024 Phillies vs Padres |
Phillies -105 at linepros |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating; 2 Units The Phillies have won eight of their last 10 games and three of their last five road games. They are playing well offensively and scored 17 runs in their last three road games. They will play well offensively in this game because they’ve hit the ball well against right-handers and Musgrove has been shaky on the mound in recent starts, giving up 10 runs in his last three starts. He gave up six runs in his last start against the Phillies and will have a hard time slowing them down in this game. The Padres have lost two of their last three home games. They struggled offensively during that stretch, scoring only six runs. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because Nola has been dominant on the mound in recent starts, giving up five runs in his last four starts. He gave up four runs in his last two starts against the Padres and will keep their offense in check once again. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 26, 2024 Royals vs Tigers |
Royals +108 at YouWager |
Won $108 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating: 2 Units Lugo has been outstanding thus far with four quality starts of his five starts. He's kept the ball on the ground, thus avoiding big innings despite giving up 30 hits in 31 innings of work. He will benefit from a Tigers team that has not hit the ball well at home and keep them in the park thanks to the daunting dimensions at Comerica Park as well as the ability to keep the ball on the ground. The Royals have shown surprising pop despite a relatively no-name lineup this season. They have 28 home runs but, more importantly, they can generate runs with a lineup that has some speed to complement the power. Olson has yet to win a game this season, has a WHIP of 1.45, and has given up more hits than innings pitched thus far. Look for the Royals to generate runs with speed and execution and Lugo to once again stay out of the big inning. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 26, 2024 Rays vs White Sox |
Rays -215 at BetVegas |
Lost $215.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating: 2 Units The Tampa Bay Rays have not been at their best but this is a great spot to gain some confidence against the worst squad in baseball. The Chicago White Sox are rarely winning games, dropping nine of their last ten games. They could be on the way to 110 defeats this season. The Rays have Zach Eflin on the mound. The veteran has been dominant, posting 12.1 scoreless innings in his last two performances including a gem against the Yankees. He has conceded zero or one run in three of his last four outings. Chris Flexen has been shaky. He has been solid out of the 'pen but has surrendered 13 runs in 13.1 innings in his three starts this season. |
PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 27, 2024 Pirates vs Giants |
Giants -140 at circa |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating: 2 Units Jordan Hicks has not allowed more than two runs in a start this season. After three home starts, he has a 1.80 ERA. He is the most reliable force in this game and the reason that the Giants will have a lead after six innings. Pittsburgh's Martin Perez has been getting tagged lately (seven runs allowed in his last two starts), and the Giants have a .257 team batting average against lefties. Expect this offense to score a few runs early. San Francisco will hold on late against a slumping offense. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 27, 2024 Phillies vs Padres |
Phillies +103 at BetVegas |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating: 2 Units Suarez (4-0, 1.36 ERA) has been the best pitcher on arguably the best starting staff in the majors. He shut down the Reds Monday night over seven innings of a 7-0 win in Cincinnati, allowing only two hits with a walk and five strikeouts. Suarez's current scoreless streak is the longest for a Phillies pitchers since another lefty, Cliff Lee, authored one that lasted 30 2/3 innings from Aug. 17-Sept. 10, 2011. Like Lee, Suarez succeeds more by mixing pitches instead of overpowering hitters. Suarez enters this game with a 2-0 record in five career outings against the Padres, two of them starts. He owns a 2.65 ERA in 17 innings, which doesn't include a win and save in the 2022 National League Championship Series. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 27, 2024 Cardinals vs Mets |
Cardinals -125 at YouWager |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating: 2 Units St Louis has won 10 of its last 15 games played at Citi Field in the Big Apple against New York. St Louis has struggled a bit at the plate but on the mound has a 4.11 team ERA, which is not the best, but its ace on the staff will be on the mound Saturday. St Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Sonny Gray has had a strong beginning to his season, allowing 14 hits and just two runs in 16.1 innings pitched, with the Cardinals winning two of his three starts. The only loss St. Louis has suffered with Gray on the mound was 2-0 to Milwaukee. New York starting pitcher Adrian Houser has been inconsistent in four starts. The right-hander allowed a combined three runs in two starts but in the other two starts, allowed a combined 13 runs in 9 Innings pitched. New York has lost three of the four games that Houser has started this season. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Apr 27, 2024 Nuggets vs Lakers |
Nuggets -165 at Ace |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating: 2 Units The Denver Nuggets know how to win playoff games. Denver has won all three games and game three was their best performance of this series. This is not a good sign for the Lakers. The Nuggets are 5-0 in their last five playoff road games. While James and Davis have been solid, they don’t have the depth to beat this Nuggets squad as seen in game three. Aaron Gordon dropped 29 points for Denver. The Nuggets continue to dominate the boards. They have out-rebounded the Lakers in all three games including 51 boards compared to only 38 by the Lakers on Thursday. Los Angeles has not been able to score enough points in this series despite shooting 49% due to the rebounding margin. The Nuggets have held the Lakers to an average of 102 points in the series. They have now beaten the Lakers in 11 straight meetings. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Apr 27, 2024 Cavs vs Magic |
Magic -130 at YouWager |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating: 2 Units Orlando has to play its best basketball to win again in game four, and while it won't win by double digits, I do believe it can cover the two-point spread. Cleveland didn't put up much of a fight in game three, and while it should compete better today, it won't be enough. Like they did in the first two games, the Magic kept the Cavaliers under their shooting average from long range. However, in game three, they easily dominated on the boards and kept Donovan Mitchell and Jarrett Allen from scoring too many easy buckets at the rim. The return of Jalen Suggs was crucial, as he added 24 points on offense and helped make Mitchell (6-for-16) more uncomfortable than he was in the first two meetings. I don't expect too much to change in game four, with the Magic bullying the Cavaliers on their home floor to even up the series. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Apr 27, 2024 Bruins vs Maple Leafs |
Bruins +105 at circa |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating: 2 Units I fully expect the Bruins to wave the goal tandem, at least for this series and have Jeremy Swayman in net on Saturday night. Swayman has had the Leafs number this season with five straight wins and a dazzling near-96 percent save percentage in the two playoff games. The Bruins have dominated special teams in the series, scoring on 50% of their power play opportunities while only allowing one goal in 11 penalty-killing opportunities. Captain Marchand has once again done his job and is completely in the heads of the Maple Leafs heading into game four. The veteran winger has been an expert at this throughout his career and will certainly continue to agitate the Leafs in game four. The Bruins have done a lot of this damage without a big series from leading scorer David Pastrnak, who has just one goal thus far, and he is likely a timebomb that will soon go off. Ride with the Bs until the Maple Leafs can solve Swayman. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Apr 27, 2024 Panthers vs Lightning |
Panthers -120 at circa |
Lost $120.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Rating: 3 Units The Lightning look to avoid a sweep but this series has been one-sided and I see the Panthers dominating this game on both ends of the ice. The Panthers, who have scored 11 goals in the series, should pile on the goals with Matthew Tkachuk, Aleksander Barkov, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Panthers should limit the Lightning offense with Gustav Forsling, Brandon Montour, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win the game to sweep the series with a strong performance on the road. |
SERVICE BIO |
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Michael Alexander is the Founder and Head Handicapper of Alexander Sports. Mr. Alexander has been handicapping sports (NFL Football Picks, College Football Picks, NBA Basketball Picks, College Basketball Picks, NHL Hockey Picks, and MLB Baseball Picks) for over 20 years and holds numerous top 10 handicapping rankings and is the 2004 Overall Champion as documented at Procappers! His approach to this craft is truly unique in the industry. With a background in statistics and prior experience in finance, Michael combines in depth statistical analysis with a financial risk/reward formula. It is this method that allows Mr. Alexander to properly weigh the risk of investment vs. the possible reward of investment for each game he analyzes. |